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FogTrail Team·

As of March 2026, when users ask AI search engines for "alternatives to Salesforce," Salesforce itself is recommended first by 3 out of 5 engines. Across all three "alternative to X" queries we tested, incumbents hold position 1 in 87% of engine responses (13 out of 15), a rate that has plateaued for two consecutive weeks after dropping from 93% in our first wave.

This finding comes from FogTrail's "State of AI Citations" research program, where we tracked 25 B2B SaaS brands across 20 queries and 5 AI search engines over three weekly waves, producing 300 engine-query data points. The pattern is consistent: AI engines explain the incumbent's strengths before suggesting alternatives, effectively reinforcing the brand the user is trying to leave.

The Paradox: "Replace This Product" Queries Strengthen the Product

The logic seems straightforward. A user types "best alternative to Mailchimp" into ChatGPT. They want something that is not Mailchimp. But ChatGPT's response opens with "Mailchimp is the default for many small businesses" and spends two paragraphs on Mailchimp's features before listing ActiveCampaign as the first true alternative.

This is not a ChatGPT quirk. All five engines do it. When we asked for alternatives to Google Analytics, every single engine placed Google Analytics at position 1 in every single wave. When we asked for alternatives to Mailchimp, same result: 5 out of 5 engines, three weeks running.

The "alternative to X" query has become, paradoxically, one of the strongest visibility positions an incumbent can hold in AI search.

The Data: Three Waves, Three "Alternative to" Queries

We ran three "alternative to X" queries across ChatGPT, Perplexity, Gemini, Grok, and Claude once per week for three weeks. Here is how often the incumbent brand appeared at position 1.

QueryWave 1Wave 2Wave 3Total
Alternative to Salesforce4/5 (80%)3/5 (60%)3/5 (60%)10/15 (67%)
Alternative to Mailchimp5/5 (100%)5/5 (100%)5/5 (100%)15/15 (100%)
Alternative to Google Analytics5/5 (100%)5/5 (100%)5/5 (100%)15/15 (100%)
All queries combined14/15 (93%)13/15 (87%)13/15 (87%)40/45 (89%)

Mailchimp and Google Analytics are untouchable. Not a single engine, in any wave, recommended a different brand first for their "alternative to" queries. The only crack is in CRM.

The Salesforce Exception

Salesforce is the only incumbent losing ground in "alternative to" queries. In Wave 1, four of five engines placed Salesforce first. By Wave 2, that dropped to three, and it held at three in Wave 3. The two engines that defected are Perplexity and Grok, both of which now consistently recommend HubSpot first for "alternative to Salesforce."

EngineW1: Alt to Salesforce #1W2W3
PerplexitySalesforceHubSpotHubSpot
ChatGPTSalesforceSalesforceSalesforce
GeminiSalesforceSalesforceSalesforce
GrokHubSpotHubSpotHubSpot
ClaudeSalesforceSalesforceSalesforce

The pattern held for two consecutive waves, which rules out nondeterministic noise. Perplexity and Grok have genuinely shifted their CRM recommendation. But the brand displacing Salesforce is HubSpot, another enterprise giant. No startup or midmarket CRM has broken into position 1 on any engine for this query.

Supporting Evidence: What the Engines Actually Say

The responses themselves reveal why this pattern is so durable. AI engines treat "alternative to X" queries as comparison queries, not replacement queries.

When we asked Perplexity for "best alternative to Mailchimp," the response opened with a detailed Mailchimp overview, covering pricing tiers, audience segmentation features, and automation capabilities. The actual alternatives appeared after two paragraphs of incumbent context. Grok followed a similar pattern.

ChatGPT was the most explicit. Its response to "best alternative to Mailchimp" began: "Mailchimp is the default for many small businesses." That framing positions Mailchimp as the baseline against which every alternative is measured, which is the opposite of what the user's query intended.

For Google Analytics, the pattern was even more extreme. All five engines opened their "alternative to GA" responses with descriptions of GA's capabilities, effectively treating the query as "tell me about Google Analytics and then list some competitors." The incumbent gets first position, the most detailed description, and the framing advantage.

Compare this to how engines handle category consensus queries. When a user asks "best analytics tool for SaaS," engines disagree on the #1 brand in 50% of cases. But when the same user asks "best alternative to Google Analytics," disagreement drops to zero. The incumbent's name in the query acts as an anchor that the AI cannot escape.

What This Means

Incumbents should be monitoring, not ignoring, "alternative to" queries. If you are Mailchimp or Google Analytics, "alternative to [your brand]" is not a threat. It is your strongest AI search position. You hold 100% of position-1 results across all engines and all waves. That is better performance than any direct query produces. Our research on ChatGPT's outlier behavior shows that even the most volatile engine cannot dislodge these incumbents from alternative queries.

Challengers face a structural barrier, not a content problem. The issue is not that challenger brands lack content about being alternatives. The issue is that AI engines structurally frame "alternative to X" responses around the incumbent. Publishing a blog post titled "Why We're the Best Salesforce Alternative" will not change this. The engine will still open with Salesforce.

The 87% plateau may be a permanent floor. The rate dropped from 93% to 87% between Wave 1 and Wave 2, then held at exactly 87% in Wave 3. Two consecutive weeks at the same rate suggests this is not a transition, it is a settling point. Incumbents lost a small amount of ground and then stopped losing.

Even when incumbents lose, they lose to other incumbents. HubSpot is the only brand to displace Salesforce in "alternative to Salesforce" queries. HubSpot is itself an enterprise brand with massive market presence. No startup CRM, not Attio, not Close, not Pipedrive, has appeared at position 1 for this query on any engine in any wave. The data on startups outranking category leaders shows that breakthroughs are possible in direct queries, but "alternative to" queries remain locked.

What You Can Do About It

  • If you are an incumbent: Track your "alternative to [your brand]" queries across all five engines. This is free real estate, but it is not guaranteed forever. Salesforce lost 2 of 5 engines in a single week. Monitoring tools like multi-engine AEO platforms can alert you if an engine flips.
  • If you are a challenger: Do not invest heavily in "alternative to [incumbent]" content for AI search. The structural advantage is too strong. Instead, target category queries ("best CRM for startups," "analytics for SaaS") where engine disagreement is high and position 1 is genuinely contested.
  • Focus on niche positioning. Beehiiv achieved 3/5 engine consensus for "best email tool for newsletters" by owning a sub-niche rather than competing head-to-head with Mailchimp. The "alternative to" query is a head-to-head fight. Niche queries are not.
  • Monitor multiple waves, not single snapshots. The Salesforce crack appeared in Wave 2 and held in Wave 3. A single check would have shown either 93% or 87% depending on timing. As of March 2026, only multi-wave monitoring reveals whether a shift is noise or a real trend.

Methodology

We ran 20 queries across 5 AI search engines (ChatGPT, Perplexity, Gemini, Grok, and Claude) once per week for three consecutive weeks. Each query was sent as a real-time API call, simulating how actual users interact with these platforms. We tracked 25 B2B SaaS brands across 5 categories. Three of the 20 queries were "alternative to X" format, producing 15 engine-query pairs per wave and 45 total data points for this analysis.

FAQ

Do AI engines always recommend the incumbent first in "alternative to" queries?

In 87% of cases across our three-wave study, yes. Mailchimp and Google Analytics held position 1 in 100% of engine responses. Salesforce held position 1 in 60% of responses (Waves 2 and 3), down from 80% in Wave 1.

Which AI engine is most likely to recommend a non-incumbent brand?

Grok and Perplexity are the only two engines that have placed a non-incumbent (HubSpot) at position 1 for any "alternative to" query. ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude placed the incumbent first in every "alternative to" response across all three waves.

Can a startup ever rank first for an "alternative to [enterprise brand]" query?

In our dataset of 45 "alternative to" engine-query pairs, no startup has ever appeared at position 1. The only brand to displace an incumbent was HubSpot, which is itself an enterprise company.

Is the incumbent advantage in AI search getting stronger or weaker?

It dropped from 93% to 87% between our first and second waves, then plateaued at 87% for two consecutive waves. As of March 2026, the trend suggests stabilization rather than continued erosion.

Does publishing "alternative to [brand]" content help challengers rank in AI search?

Not for position 1 in "alternative to" queries specifically. AI engines structurally frame these responses around the incumbent regardless of challenger content. Challenger brands see better results targeting direct category queries where engine disagreement is higher.

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